Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.063419 1.281899 1.513314 1.774824 2.060360 2.361054 2.700065
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.767008 1.064889 1.403589 1.809209 2.274505 2.785204 3.382047
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.597189 0.927190 1.322949 1.816306 2.400595 3.058327 3.843293
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.438945 0.775438 1.203352 1.759161 2.438091 3.220552 4.172151
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.321773 0.652950 1.099989 1.703618 2.461707 3.353316 4.454928
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.239585 0.562555 1.025173 1.672690 2.506062 3.503343 4.751835
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.192830 0.515874 1.002443 1.703183 2.622049 3.735861 5.143639
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.149815 0.465678 0.968165 1.713286 2.708560 3.930060 5.488047
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.106719 0.403731 0.908908 1.683466 2.739301 4.052529 5.743681
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.096307 0.403335 0.942872 1.782979 2.938664 4.384559 6.254363
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087618 0.404504 0.978365 1.884300 3.140542 4.720277 6.770529
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081842 0.410878 1.021809 1.997024 3.357953 5.076219 7.312560
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.072406 0.409185 1.056037 2.103781 3.578018 5.448973 7.892828
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055238 0.382451 1.046168 2.145669 3.712047 5.715259 8.345821
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037909 0.346066 1.014815 2.152050 3.795125 5.914496 8.713980
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019526 0.290305 0.941291 2.089566 3.780344 5.986072 8.922038
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007934 0.241179 0.872072 2.028075 3.762746 6.050873 9.119064
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002457 0.205521 0.823065 1.993965 3.779937 6.157852 9.366146
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000806 0.190999 0.816447 2.027636 3.893239 6.390916 9.772957
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.172104 0.797238 2.038803 3.973193 6.579494 10.123213
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.144869 0.753632 2.005857 3.987099 6.679119 10.359261
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.151003 0.792557 2.115700 4.211507 7.060936 10.957790
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.157390 0.832292 2.227282 4.438981 7.447514 11.563301